And What About the Family Back Home? International Migration and Happiness
Fernando Borraz, Susan Pozo, Maximo Rossi
ABSTRACT
In this study we use data on subjective well being and migration in Cuenca, one of the
Ecuador's largest cities. We examine the impact of migration on the happiness of the
family left behind. We use the propensity score matching estimator to take into account
the endogeneity of migration. Our results indicate that migration reduces the happiness of
those left behind. We also find that the monetary inflows (remittances) that accompany
migration do not increase happiness levels among recipients. These results suggest that
the family left behind cannot be compensated, for the increase in unhappiness that it
sustains on account of the emigration of loved ones, with remittances from abroad.
JEL Codes: A12, F22, I31.
Keywords: Happiness, migration, remittances.
A. Introduction
International migration can be motivated by a number of factors. Some migrate in
order to escape dire poverty. Others go into exile in search of religious or political
freedoms. Some move to invest in education, others to join relatives abroad, and still
others in pursuit of adventure and new opportunities. While a great deal of research has
analyzed the short-run and long-run outcomes for those that move to new areas (e.g.
Borjas, 2002; Chiswick, 2002; Smith, 2003; Card, 2005) in this paper we turn out focus
to the family left behind. In particular we consider whether the international migration of
one or more family members serves to increase or decrease the level of "happiness" of
household members who remain in the home community.
There are a number of reasons for expecting that migration and its potential byproducts
will continue to touch ever increasing numbers of individuals in the world. First
of all, the incidence of international migration has been rising. In 1970, about 2.2 percent
of the world’s population lived in a country other than their country of birth. In contrast,
by 2000, the foreign born accounted for close to 3 percent of the world’s population
(International Organization for Migration 2005, p. 379). A second reason for expecting
rising impacts of migration is due to the observation that emigration impacts more than
those moving to another country. Barriers to migration often make it difficult for whole
families to migrate. Therefore the incidence of migration-impacted households can
change with public policy which ultimately accentuates family separations and
dislocations. Massey (2006) has noted that increased enforcement at the US/Mexico
border implemented to stem illegal immigration has had the unintended effect of
extending the stay of unauthorized immigrants who would normally periodically return
home. Longer stays by unauthorized immigrant are likely to lead to longer-lasting and
permanent family separations. A third reason for expecting migration to touch larger
portions of the world population stems from policy shifts in immigration legislation
toward preferences for skill labor migration at the expense of family reunification. If
legislation continues to be developed along these lines, it follows that a larger circle of
individuals will be affected by migration due to longer-run family separations. Finally,
continued rapid technological progress of the sort observed in the more recent decades is
likely to continue, further reducing transportation and communication costs, easing travel
and facilitating international migration (UNDP, 1999).
Given the expectation of greater family dislocations via migration, what are our
priors on the impact of migration on happiness? We hypothesize that migration reduces
happiness levels of the family left behind. The emigration of a household member is
likely to directly cause disruptions in the household since the absent household member
may have been contributing to the household via market or house work. Thus, in addition
to discomfort stemming from the absence of loved ones, household and monetary
responsibilities now need to be assumed by other family members. The reallocation of
household chores and market work is likely to be costly for the remaining family
members, reducing happiness levels.
In this paper we also explore a second mechanism by which migration may
impact the household. Many immigrants remit money home. In fact, the raison d'etre
for migration in the first case is often couched in terms of obtaining opportunities to remit
money home. These monetary inflows, which many migrant households4 eventually
enjoy, may compensate in whole or in part for the losses felt on account of the absent
household member. In sum, we therefore seek to explore two questions. In the first we
ask whether migration decreases the level of happiness of the family back home. Next
we explore whether the monetary by-products (remittances) that often follow migration
increase the happiness levels of those households.
In order to examine the impact of migration on the happiness of the family left
behind we exploit information contained in the Discrimination and Economic Outcomes
Survey undertaken in Ecuador in 2006 under the auspices of the Inter-American
Development Bank.5 The survey contains information from 665 households: 480 in
Cuenca and 185 in San Fernando. In this paper we only include households residing in
Cuenca. Cuenca is the third largest city in Ecuador with nearly a half million inhabitants
while San Fernando is a very small town with approximately 3,000 inhabitants6. If the
household does claim a migrant member, limited information on that migration is
collected. Furthermore, information concerning the receipt of remittances is collected of
all households as is a question that assesses the "happiness" of the survey respondent.
B. Literature and Measurement Concerns
To what extent is it possible to discern "happiness" from surveys such as the one
in question? Di Tella and MacCulloch (2005) note that other social scientists including
psychologists have relied upon happiness data much like the data included in the
Discrimination and Economic Outcomes Survey that we are working with. They claim
that: “….well-being data pass what psychologists sometimes call validation exercises.
Pavot (1991), for example, finds that respondents who report that they are very happy
tend to smile more, an act that arguably is correlated with true internal happiness”.
Layard (2005) further rationalizes the use of happiness data by noting research in
neuroscience (Davidson, 2000) which have found that different regions in the brain are
associated with positive and negative affects. Thus when people describe their feelings
there is some biological basis and their claims are not purely subjective. Furthermore,
self-reported happiness is correlated with others' assessments of happiness. As such,
many argue that happiness can be measured and can be compared between individuals
and over time. In our case, respondents happiness are assessed by way of asking whether
they are "very satisfied," "fairly satisfied," "not satisfied," or "very unsatisfied" with their
life. With this information we construct a happiness dummy variable equal to "1" if the
house head is very satisfied or fairly satisfied with their life and "0" otherwise.
The literature on happiness suggests that a number of demographic, cultural and
economic factors play a role in individual's happiness. A review of the empirical
literature appears to concur with common expectations regarding the relationship
between personal variables and happiness. For example, separated individuals and
divorced individuals are found to be less happy (Clark and Oswald, 1994; Blanchard and
Oswald, 2000) and the degree of happiness is found to be "U-shaped" with respect to age
(Blanchflower and Oswald, 2000). Happiness decreases with age but eventually rises as
individuals get older. In contrast, education and happiness are found to be "inverse Ushaped.
More education increases happiness, but only up to a certain point. That is,
education can be "too much of a good thing," since beyond a certain point, additional
levels of education are found to contribute negatively to happiness levels (Hartlog et al.,
1997).
Other variables are found to have less obvious and sometimes even
counterintuitive impacts on happiness. For example, absolute income levels do not seem
to be important as determinants of happiness (Easterlin, 1974; Blanchflower and Oswald,
2000; Rayo and Becker, 2007). Relative income or wage standing, instead appear to
affect happiness levels (Frank, 1985; Easterlin, 2001, Miles et al., 2005). Interestingly,
self-employment is found to increase happiness for individuals in developed economies,
while having the opposite effect for individuals residing in developing economies
(Graham et al., 2001).
A number of other variables have been found to affect happiness, but with less
robust findings. For example, while it has been reported that women are happier than
men, the reported happiness among women is found to be declining over time. And while
religious denomination does not appear to impact happiness, religiosity, measured by
attendance at religious ceremonies, seems to be correlated with greater levels of
happiness (e.g. Blanchflower and Oswald 2000).
Our intent is to contribute to this literature by assessing the impact of migration
on happiness. To this end one might consider estimating a regression of the following
form:
Happiness for the head of household i (Hi) is presumed to depend on vectors of
household (Fi) and personal head of household (Pi) variables8. Following the literature
on happiness, the vector Fi includes absolute (or relative) per capita income and
household wealth. Personal (Pi) variables that are presumed to affect happiness are
gender, age and employment status. We would augment the standard happiness equation
to include one or a vector of migration related variables Mi, (whether there is a migrant in
the household j, whether the household j enjoys the receipt of remittances from abroad)
which may, in turn, have important impacts on happiness. Finally, εi is the unobserved
heterogeneity for the household i.
While (1) may seem a reasonable specification, it may not be appropriate if we
cannot justify that all right hand side variables in equation (1) are exogenous -- that there
is no correlation between the right hand side variables and the error term. This proves
problematic for the following reasons. Consider, for example, a very simple migration
variable -- a dummy variable assuming the value "1" for households that claim that one
of its members is a migrant and "0" otherwise. Correlation between the migration
dummy variable and the error term might very well exist on account of reverse causality.
While we are presuming that migration impacts happiness (e.g. family remaining behind
miss the migrant and their former contributions to the family and therefore are less
happy), it is also conceivable that happiness affects migration. For example, a very
unhappy household head may "drive family away" thereby prompting out-migration.
In addition to endogeneity originating from reverse causality, unobserved
heterogeneity may also play a role. Migrant households are not likely to be randomly
selected from the population, but we may not be able to observe and control for that
selection. For example, it may be that migrants tend to originate from households willing
to indulge in risk-taking behavior. But risk attitudes may also play a role in determining
happiness. If we cannot control for risk attitudes on the right hand side of (1) the
migration variable and error term will be correlated and our inferences regarding
migration and happiness will be biased.
Non-migration regressors in equation (1) may also suffer from endogeneity. One
obvious candidate is income. Positive work attitudes may very well be a factor in
determining income, but work attitudes are also likely to affect happiness. If we do not
observe and therefore control for work attitudes, this will be reflected in the error term
which will now be correlated with income, biasing the coefficient on income and
incorrectly assessing income's impact on happiness.
A common solution for endogeneity is to find instruments for the endogenous
variables in question. By finding variables that are correlated with the endogenous right
hand side variable yet not related to the dependent variable, we can purge the equation of
endogeneity and thereby obtain consistent estimates that reliably describe how the right
hand side variables affect happiness. In many cases, however, good instruments are
difficult to obtain. Furthermore, once we find good candidates, diagnostic tests of the
suitability of instruments are sometimes of questionable reliability, making it difficult to
justify their use. While we might venture to use instrumental variables to correct for one
endogenous regressor, we feel less confident about finding and justifying instruments for
all the regressors in equation (1) that are likely to be endogenous. For this reason we
seek an alternative technique to assess the impact of migration and migration related
variables on happiness.
D. Conclusions
In this paper we set out to study the impact of migration and remittances on the
happiness of the family left behind. We exploit the results of a survey conducted in
Cuenca, Ecuador in 2006 that collects information on both migration of family members
and on the receipt of remittances. In addition the survey asks a question about the level
of happiness experienced by the respondent, the household head. This allows us to check
for the impacts of migration and migration related variables on happiness.
17
As in any study of happiness, the primary challenge is to correct for endogeneity.
A large number of variables are likely to affect the "happiness" of individuals, but it is
also the case that happiness is likely to impact on many variables of interest. Given
selectivity in terms of who migrates, unobserved heterogeneity is also likely to
complicate the assessment of migration on happiness. Dealing with this endogeneity is
essential if we are to obtain credible and reliable results. In our case we choose to deal
with the endogeneity of happiness by using matching methods. To assess the impact of
migration on happiness we first estimated a propensity score for migration. These scores
were then used to find matched controls for those observations that were "treated" with
migration. We found that the matched controls were more happy than the treated. In
other words we were able to infer, in this case, that families with migrants are less happy.
Migration reduces the happiness of those left behind. In a second experiment we test to
see the impact of remittance recipiency on happiness. Are families who receive
remittances happier?
In conjunction, the two experiments suggest that remittances, the monetary
inflows that often accompany migration, cannot compensate for the absence of household
members through migration. This is interesting because it is often claimed that the raison
d'etra of international migration from developing to developed economies is the
acquisition of additional monetary resources from abroad for family back home to enjoy.
But it does not appear that these transfers can be used to raise the happiness levels of the
family left behind. As such one cannot compensate the family left behind for the absence
of loved ones with remittances from abroad.
No comments:
Post a Comment